On-The-Ground Report Via Jim Hoft Predicts Roy Moore Landslide. Developing… (CHECK BACK FOR UPDATES)

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Hoft was spot-on in his analysis of the Trump vs Clinton outcome in 2016.

We’ll know soon if he got this one right as well…

UPDATE#1: The national Democrat Machine presence in Alabama was significant in the last week prior to the election including considerable work against Roy Moore by former President Obama and other high-profile Dems. Obama’s participation signaled a belief among Democrats they might win. The last few days indicated some shift in momentum toward Moore’s opponent, Doug Jones. If that will prove enough to squelch the lead Moore had via on-the-ground polling a couple of weeks ago remains to be seen…

UPDATE #2: Word is Jones is “over-performing” in the critical swing county of Mobile that Trump won by double-digits in 2016. Those are early #s but if they hold over the next 20 minutes or so, then Jones will likely do even better in the mid-country region in and around Montgomery County and the north in Jefferson County and quite possibly that will be all he needs to win the state.

UPDATE #3: Jones is now showing surprising #s in deep-red Colbert County. As of now he is outpacing the +10 Fox News poll earlier this week. These are #s not seen by a Democrat in Alabama in generations. Again, early results, but as of now, Jones is not only winning – he’s dominating in places that haven’t voted for a Democrat in more than 40 years.

UPDATE #4: On-the-ground report from Jackson County that is now virtually tied between Moore and Jones and that Trump won by an 80/17 margin over Clinton: “These numbers are bizarre.” Again, these are still early #’s. Next 10 minutes or so should show a more clear picture of momentum trend for the rest of the evening.

UPDATE #5: Was waiting on Chilton County source. They finally got back with this: “WE ARE HOLDING THE LINE. GIVE IT 2-3 MINUTES AND SEE STATE #’S FLIP.”

UPDATE #6: Via Jackson County – Moore coming back (as predicted by Chilton County source) but Jones still over-performing throughout state. Jackson County operative says it’s “pucker-time” for the Moore campaign for the next ten minutes…

UPDATE #7: Jefferson County coming in HUGE for Jones. Both campaigns taken by surprise by that. Jones was expected to win it but not with current projected margins. That’s a LOT of votes going into the Jones column. This will get the Establishment Media licking their chops in anticipation of a Jones victory…

UPDATE #8: Jackson County operative gave a one-word response to the Jefferson #s: “ SH*T”. Our Chilton County source has gone quiet.

UPDATE #9: Chilton County is back! They say the Shelby County #’s have been held back: “We still have a round to fire off. I repeat, WE ARE HOLDING THE LINE.” They seem far more upbeat than their Jackson County counterpart.

UPDATE #10: National media reports now mirroring what our Alabama sources indicated more than ten minutes earlier. Moore has pushed back – but Jones still over-performing.

UPDATE #11: Chilton County rep. shows first signs of real concern. Apparently incoming  Tuscaloosa #s have everyone worried on the Moore side. Can’t repeat what was said regarding this. Very “colorful” and descriptive.  No love loss between Chilton and Tuscaloosa right now!

UPDATE #12: BOTH Chilton and Jackson County have gone silent. Something up? If so, will it be good or bad news for Roy Moore?

UPDATE #13: Concern w/the Shelby County #s. Moore camp hoping that “round” that was promised isn’t a dud. Neighboring Montgomery counties slow-walking reporting data. Moore camp fear those #’s might push Jones back on top.

UPDATE #14: Both Chilton and Jackson agree Montgomery area slow-walking reporting data. Apparently the next 10-15 minutes should tell us the likely winner. Shelby County #s must improve for Moore – and fast.

UPDATE #15: As if on cue, Jones closes gap. Will his momentum be enough? Moore campaign praying for Shelby County push back but as of now, it isn’t materializing…

UPDATE #16: Both Chilton and Jackson contacts almost simultaneously cry foul over Talladega County reports of a possible Jones win there. Trump won Talladega 62/36 over Clinton. As of now, Jones is winning that county. If that holds, a Shelby County push back may not be enough for Moore to win…

UPDATE #17: CONFIRMED – the Shelby County pushback is now underway. Again, will it be enough? Too close to call…

UDPATE #18: Again, media reporting follows the lead of these real-time updates. Right now both campaigns are eyeing Dallas County #’s.

UPDATE #19: Moore campaign not panicked – but wary. They were hoping to be no less than +5 by this time in the reporting. They are about half that.

UPDATE #20: Dallas County closing gap fast for Jones. Moore campaign looking wobbly. Anything left to counter-punch with? Media starting to chortle over possible victory for Jones.

UPDATE #21: National media mentioned Dallas County five minutes after we gave the heads up here. It’s a scrum now but Jones is on the move…

UPDATE #22: Jackson County team got message from their Jones counterparts indicating confidence Jones will flip the race in the next five minutes…

UPDATE #23: Again, won’t share Jackson County’s response. This race is very personal. Wow.

UPDATE #24: From Chilton County contact: “Hoping we (Moore campaign) survive the next ten minutes.” Not exactly the voice of confidence…

UPDATE #25: Race is tied. Jones on verge of pushing ahead. Appears Update #22 was right on the money even to the minute…

UPDATE #26: Moore camp getting grim. National media gloating…

UPDATE #27: And there it is – race has flipped. Dallas County coming in hard for Jones…

UPDATE #28: It appears Jim Hoft’s prediction of a Moore landslide were overly optimistic…

UPDATE #29: Moore camp privately talking about having lost the race. Path to victory too narrow/improbable.

UPDATE #30: And there it is – Democrat Jones has won in Alabama. This will have repercussions in the coming weeks/months and if you are a Trump supporter you should be concerned…

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